Could dairy futures help to manage market volatility?

Meurig Raymond_22413

Mr Raymond, a dairy farmer with 620 cows in Pembrokeshire, opened the NFU’s Dairy Risk Management Conference in Solihull, telling delegates the potential benefits of dairy futures could be worth exploring as the industry recovers from the latest market downturn.

“I am all too aware of the difficulties the dairy sector has faced as a result of low farmgate prices over the past few years”, said Mr Raymond.

“This needs to be addressed quickly to develop more resilient, forward looking supply chains. We want to see increased use and uptake of innovative, new tools that help balance the price risk between farmer, processor and end-user – and dairy futures could be one answer.

“In the US they are playing a part in aiding price discovery and collaborative working across the supply chain and I believe futures provide an opportunity for both the UK and more broadly for Europe.

“A processor and manufacturer are afforded the capability to hedge their market risk, locking in a longer term price for a commodity, be it skimmed milk powder, butter or cheese. The farmer may also in turn be presented with the opportunity to lock in over longer periods a proportion of their milk at a price agreed with the processor. This provides greater stability, certainty and in turn promotes confidence, allowing dairy farmers to invest in their businesses in the future.

“Futures also provide greater transparency around market expectations over the medium term. This enables the supply chain to plan ahead, manage production and ultimately mitigate the risk presented by the peaks and troughs of supply. Transparency with it carries many benefits, it aides price discovery allowing different marketing arrangements to develop such as market linked formula pricing and forward contracts.

“But we also are aware of the challenges. Dairy futures require reliable market price indices to settle against. Here the NFU has called on government to regulate on mandatory price reporting to improve market transparency and provide a reliable reference price.

“Dairy futures are a new concept. As such we have much work to do in developing our knowledge and capacity as an industry to understand how to best utilise this vital tool.”

The NFU Dairy Risk Management Conference took place today at the National Conference Centre, Solihull. The event attracted more than a hundred stakeholders from across the dairy supply chain including farmers, processors and manufacturers as well as representatives from retailers, banks and government.