Weather outlooks - weather hub

This page looks back at weather patterns and provides a summary, using Met Office data, of notable weather events, mean rainfall and mean temperature. 

December 2019

The hydrological outlook suggests that the outlook for December is for river flows and groundwater levels to be normal to above normal across the majority of the UK.

The East Midlands may see river flows and groundwater levels continue to be notably high. 

River flows in the Chalk fed catchments of East Anglia and the Chilterns, as well as the groundwater levels of this region, are likely to be normal to below normal over December-January-February. 

The rainfall outlook (issued by the Met Office on 22nd November) is that for December and December, January and February as a whole, above-average rainfall is more likely to occur than below-average rainfall. 

Man with umbrella, Scotland_13174

November 2019

November began with mild and wet weather, continuing to be unsettled until the 14th. It turned colder with sleet and snow falling quite widely on high ground and locally to low levels on the 8th/9th and 13th/14th. The 15th to 20th was quieter in most areas with temperatures remaining below average, followed by a milder, wet spell from the 21st to 27th.  November finished with a northerly outbreak which brought colder brighter weather.  The jet stream was frequently further south than usual which meant that north-west Scotland tended to be relatively dry and sunny.

Flood Sign_34549

Provisional UK mean temperature: 5.3 °C (0.9 °C below the 1981-2010 long-term average)

Mean maximum temperature: between 1.0 and 1.5 °C below average, but up to 2 °C below in parts of Scotland. 

Mean minimum temperatures: between 1 and 2 °C below average in western Scotland, but generally much closer to normal elsewhere, and up to 0.5 °C above average in some eastern coastal parts of England. 

Rainfall: 97% of average, and it was exceptionally wet in parts of the Midlands, Lincolnshire, north-east England, and eastern fringes of Scotland, with more than twice the normal rainfall in places.  

The UK monthly extremes

Maximum temperature: 16.9 °C at North Wyke (Devon) on the 1st. 

Minimum temperature: -9.9 °C at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) on the 19th. 

In the 24 hours ending at 0900 GMT on the 8th, 63.8 mm of rain fell at Sheffield (South Yorkshire).  A wind gust of 95 knots (109 mph) was recorded at the Needles (Isle of Wight) on the 2nd.  A snow depth of 6 cm was recorded at Cromdale (Morayshire) on the 8th a warm showery day in the south, and while colder air quickly spread from the north followed by a transient ridge of high pressure, low pressure and associated fronts returned by the 4th. 

Until the 20th the weather was unsettled with frequent low pressure systems and rain belts crossing the country, and the jet stream was further south than normal, resulting in frontal systems often especially affecting the south and east of England.  There was a quieter period from the 21st to 23rd, and then after a very wet spell on the 24th to 26th. The weather turned cold, dry and sunny for most of the country from the 27th to 30th, with the south-west remaining very wet at times.

Click here or here to read the full update from the Met Office. 

Lake District cottage_13153

October 2019

October began with a warm showery day in the south, and while colder air quickly spread from the north followed by a transient ridge of high pressure, low pressure and associated fronts returned by the 4th. 

Until the 20th the weather was unsettled with frequent low pressure systems and rain belts crossing the country, and the jet stream was further south than normal, resulting in frontal systems often especially affecting the south and east of England. 

There was a quieter interlude from the 21st to 23rd, and then after a very wet spell on the 24th to 26th. The weather turned cold, dry and sunny for most of the country from the 27th to 30th, although the far south-west remained very wet at times.

Autumn at Westonbirt Arboretum_13281

The provisional UK mean temperature was 9.0 °C, which is 0.5 °C below the 1981-2010 long-term average.  Both mean maximum and mean minimum temperatures were within 0.5 °C of the long-term average in the south, but were between 0.5 °C and 1.0 °C below over much of Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. 

Rainfall was 109% of average, and it was a wet month over most of England and Wales with some parts of eastern England, notably in Yorkshire, and also the far south-west, having more than twice the normal rainfall, but in Scotland, Northern Ireland and Cumbria it was generally drier than average. 

Sunshine was 95% of average, and sunshine was below normal over most of England and Wales but above normal in most parts of Scotland, Northern Ireland, Cumbria and north Lancashire.

The UK monthly extremes for October were:

A maximum temperature of 21.3 °C was recorded at Trawsgoed (Dyfed) on the 1st.  A minimum temperature of -6.2 °C was recorded at Altnaharra (Sutherland) on the 31st. In the 24 hours ending at 0900 GMT on the 26th, 101.0 mm of rain fell at Lebanus (Powys). A wind gust of 66 knots (76 mph) was recorded at the Needles (Isle of Wight) on the 18th.

Click here to read the full update from the Met Office 

Source: Met Office 


Last edited on: 12:11:2019

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